Playing with History
By: Simon Cross
Probability Definition: Probability is the measure of the likelihood that an event will occur.
Observed Probability: It's the observed ( Seen or known ) results/probability that something is going to happen.
Theoretical Probability: A probability based on reasoning written as a ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the number of possible outcomes.
Conditional Probability: The probability of an event, given that another has already occurred.
Probability of multiple events: The chance that two things happen at the same time.
Expected Value: A predicted value of a variable, calculated as the sum of all possible values each multiplied by the probability of its occurrence.
Two-Way Tables: A table working with two different variables
Tree Diagram: Tree diagrams allow us to see all the possible outcomes of an event and calculate their probability. Each branch in a tree diagram represents a possible outcome.
Joint Probability: A joint probability is a statistical measure where the likelihood of two events occurring together and at the same point in time are calculated. Joint probability is the probability of event Y occurring at the same time event X occurs.
Marginal Probability: In probability theory and statistics, the marginal distribution of a subset of a collection of random variables is the probability distribution of the variables contained in the subset. It gives the probabilities of various values of the variables in the subset without reference to the values of the other variables.
Overview of My Game: My game was called "Shut the Box" It was a game made in the early 12th century. It was simple game that mixed probability and strategy making a great game for gambling. The probability part comes in when you work with the die, because it comes a lot to what numbers you get and how you get them. For a more comprehensive page on the history and the rules go to this document I wrote up on it; https://docs.google.com/document/d/16LIR6bUFart3ndmw8ph0sVojsrX62M8efJGA1EnigeU/edit?usp=sharing
Reflection: I feel like I did really good on some things and some things not so well. For instance the game, I feel like I did a really good job on the game plan and the execution of it. However simple worksheets I had a really hard time with that, so I want to work on that next semester. All together I am proud of this semester and how it all turned out.
Observed Probability: It's the observed ( Seen or known ) results/probability that something is going to happen.
Theoretical Probability: A probability based on reasoning written as a ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the number of possible outcomes.
Conditional Probability: The probability of an event, given that another has already occurred.
Probability of multiple events: The chance that two things happen at the same time.
Expected Value: A predicted value of a variable, calculated as the sum of all possible values each multiplied by the probability of its occurrence.
Two-Way Tables: A table working with two different variables
Tree Diagram: Tree diagrams allow us to see all the possible outcomes of an event and calculate their probability. Each branch in a tree diagram represents a possible outcome.
Joint Probability: A joint probability is a statistical measure where the likelihood of two events occurring together and at the same point in time are calculated. Joint probability is the probability of event Y occurring at the same time event X occurs.
Marginal Probability: In probability theory and statistics, the marginal distribution of a subset of a collection of random variables is the probability distribution of the variables contained in the subset. It gives the probabilities of various values of the variables in the subset without reference to the values of the other variables.
Overview of My Game: My game was called "Shut the Box" It was a game made in the early 12th century. It was simple game that mixed probability and strategy making a great game for gambling. The probability part comes in when you work with the die, because it comes a lot to what numbers you get and how you get them. For a more comprehensive page on the history and the rules go to this document I wrote up on it; https://docs.google.com/document/d/16LIR6bUFart3ndmw8ph0sVojsrX62M8efJGA1EnigeU/edit?usp=sharing
Reflection: I feel like I did really good on some things and some things not so well. For instance the game, I feel like I did a really good job on the game plan and the execution of it. However simple worksheets I had a really hard time with that, so I want to work on that next semester. All together I am proud of this semester and how it all turned out.